Category: Musicals

71st Tony Awards Predictions by an Uncultured Person

71st Tony Awards Predictions by an Uncultured Person

Often before an awards show people make their predictions on who’s going to win.  These people are often reputable with years of experience in the field.  I am not one of those people.  Ergo, I’m going to give you my predictions based on the criteria that I usually use for award shows:

  1. People keep on talking about this one, so it has to win…right?
  2. The name of this one caught my eye first.
  3. I’m completely biased and just really want this one to win.

You get the picture.  So without further ado, here are my predictions for the 71st Annual Tony Awards.  Come back tomorrow to see how I did (probably poorly) and what I thought of the performances and overall show!

In this review:

  • Predictions for Musicals
  • Predictions for Plays

WARNING.  Just to cover my bases, I wanted to give a spoiler warning here.  I give my reasons as to why I pick a certain musical or play over the others, and there may be accidental spoilers (most likely not since I haven’t seen a vast majority of the nominees).

PREDICTIONS FOR MUSICALS

Let’s start with the musicals.  Seeing as I’ve only seen two shows that are a part of this Tony Award Season (Miss Saigon and Anastasia), let’s see how this goes.

Best Musical

  • Nominees
    • Come From Away
    • Dear Evan Hansen
    • Groundhog Day The Musical
    • Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
  • My Pick
    • Dear Evan Hansen
  • Reason
    • I’ve heard a lot about this musical, and I also really want it to win.

Book of a Musical

  • Nominees
    • Irene Sankoff and David Hein: Come From Away
    • Steven Levenson: Dear Evan Hansen
    • Danny Rubin: Groundhog Day The Musical
    • Dave Malloy: Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
  • My Pick
    • Steven Levenson: Dear Evan Hansen
  • Reason
    • Same reasons as why I picked it for Best Musical.

Original Score

  • Nominees
    • Irene Sankoff and David Hein: Come From Away
    • Benj Pasek and Justin Paul: Dear Evan Hansen
    • Tim Minchin: Groundhog Day The Musical
    • Dave Malloy: Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
  • My Pick
    • Benj Pasek and Justin Paul: Dear Evan Hansen (There’s clearly a theme here.)
  • Reason
    • Now I’ve only listened to 2 songs from Dear Evan Hansen (“Waving through a Window” and “Only Us”), but I really like those songs. In addition, it would be really cool if Pasek and Paul were to win a Tony in the same year that they won an Oscar for La La Land.  I’m a fan of a lot of their work including Dogfight and songs from the TV show Smash.

Best Revival

  • Nominees
    • Falsettos
    • Hello, Dolly!
    • Miss Saigon
  • My Pick
    • Hello, Dolly!
  • Reason
    • Apologies Miss Saigon. Although I enjoyed my experience at the Broadway Theatre, there has been so much buzz surrounding Hello, Dolly! that I think that this one’s going to be a winner.

Leading Actor

  • Nominees
    • Christian Borle: Falsettos
    • Josh Groban: Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
    • Andy Karl: Groundhog Day the Musical
    • David Hyde Pierce: Hello, Dolly!
    • Ben Platt: Dear Evan Hansen
  • My Pick
    • Ben Platt: Dear Evan Hansen
  • Reason
    • Now this category was actually a difficult one for me. At first, I wanted to choose Andy Karl because I read a story about how he was in the hospital recently because of his work in Groundhog Day. Josh Groban also caught my eye because I am familiar with his singing abilities.
    • Ultimately, I chose Ben Platt because many people have been talking about his performance and because you can already see his great acting ability in the performances of “Waving Through a Window” and “Only Us” that are on YouTube.

Leading Actress

  • Nominees
    • Denée Benton: Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
    • Christine Ebersole: War Paint
    • Patti LuPone: War Paint
    • Bette Midler: Hello, Dolly!
    • Eva Noblezada: Miss Saigon
  • My Pick
    • Bette Midler: Hello, Dolly!
  • Reason
    • Another difficult one. If it couldn’t be emphasized enough, Eva Noblezada deserves her nomination for her portrayal of Kim in Miss Saigon.  However, I’ve heard that Bette Midler is basically a no-brainer for this category; therefore, I had to choose her.

Featured Actor

  • Nominees
    • Gavin Creel-Hello, Dolly!
    • Mike Faist-Dear Evan Hansen
    • Andrew Rannells-Falsettos
    • Lucas Stelle-Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
    • Brandon Uranowitz-Falsettos
  • My Pick
    • Mike Faist-Dear Evan Hansen
  • Reason
    • He’s the only one that I’ve seen mentioned on the Internet.

Featured Actress

  • Nominees
    • Kate Baldwin-Hello, Dolly!
    • Stephanie J. Block-Falsettos
    • Jenn Colella-Come From Away
    • Rachel Bay Jones-Dear Evan Hansen
    • Mary Beth Peil-Anastasia
  • My Pick
    • Mary Beth Peil-Anastasia
  • Reason
    • Ideally, I’d like to say that I’m being objective, but I would be lying. Mary Beth Peil is royalty both on stage and off as the Dowager Empress.  She was very nice to me at the stage door, and it would be great if she is the one to take home this Tony.

Scenic Design

  • Nominees
    • Rob Howell-Groundhog Day the Musical
    • David Korins-War Paint
    • Mimi Lien-Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
    • Santo Loquasto-Hello, Dolly!
  • My Pick
    • David Korins-War Paint
  • Reason
    • I chose War Paint simply because it had the word “war” in the title. Somehow having the word “war” in the title made me think that it would have good scenic design.  

Costume Design

  • Nominees
    • Linda Cho-Anastasia
    • Santo Loquasto-Hello, Dolly!
    • Paloma Young-Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
    • Catherine Zuber-War Paint
  • My Pick
    • Linda Cho-Anastasia
  • Reason
    • I don’t know about the costumes in the other musicals, but having seen Anastasia, I can attest that the costumes are beautiful.

Lighting Design

  • Nominees
    • Howell Binkley-Come From Away
    • Natasha Katz-Hello, Dolly!
    • Bradley King-Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
    • Japhy Weideman-Dear Evan Hansen
  • My Pick
    • Howell Binkley-Come From Away
  • Reason
    • I’ve only ready a little bit up on Come From Away, but I think it has to do something with 9/11. I picked Come From Away because I would assume that lighting plays a big part in getting the audience to understand what is happening.

Best Direction

  • Nominees
    • Christopher Ashley-Come From Away
    • Rachel Chavkin-Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
    • Michael Greif-Dear Evan Hansen
    • Matthew Warchus-Groundhog Day the Musical
    • Jerry Zaks-Hello, Dolly!
  • My Pick
    • Rachel Chavkin-Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
  • Reason
    • From what I could gather, Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812 is an inventive and unique musical. Therefore, for it to be such a hit, I gathered that the direction must be deserving of an award.

Choreography

  • Nominees
    • Andy Blankenbuhler-Bandstand
    • Peter Darling and Ellen Kane- Groundhog Day The Musical
    • Kelly Devine-Come From Away
    • Denis Jones-Holiday Inn, the New Irving Berlin Musical
    • Sam Pinkleton-Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
  • My Pick
    • Andy Blankenbuhler-Bandstand
  • Reason
    • Bandstand is one of the musicals of which I’m more familiar. I’m not aware of how intricate the choreography is for the other musicals, but I enjoyed what I’ve seen online of Bandstand.

Orchestrations

  • Nominees
    • Bill Elliott and Greg Anthony Rassen-Bandstand
    • Larry Hochman-Hello, Dolly!
    • Alex Lacamoire-Dear Evan Hansen
    • Dave Malloy-Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
  • My Pick
    • Bill Elliott and Greg Anthony Rassen-Bandstand
  • Reason
    • Bandstand has been known to have the actors playing the instruments on stage, so I’m guessing that it’s going to win.

PREDICTIONS FOR PLAYS

My knowledge of plays in general is pretty lacking.  Ergo, be prepared for a lot of, “This one caught my eye first.”

Best Play

  • Nominees
    • A Doll’s House, Part 2
    • Indecent
    • Oslo
    • Sweat
  • My Pick
    • A Doll’s House, Part 2
  • Reason
    • It’s the only play I’ve heard about among the nominees. The concept is pretty interesting since it’s a sequel to a well-known play.

Best Revival

  • Nominees
    • August Wilson’s Jitney
    • Lillian Hellman’s The Little Foxes
    • Present Laughter
    • Six Degrees of Separation
  • My Pick
    • Six Degrees of Separation
  • Reason
    • Again, the only one I’ve heard about from the bunch.

Leading Actor

  • Nominees
    • Denis Arndt-Heisenberg
    • Chris Cooper-A Doll’s House, Part 2
    • Corey Hawkins-Six Degrees of Separation
    • Kevin Kline-Present Laughter
    • Jefferson Mays-Oslo
  • My Pick
    • Kevin Kline-Present Laughter
  • Reason
    • He’s the only actor’s name that I recognize.

Leading Actress

  • Nominees
    • Cate Blanchett-The Present
    • Jennifer Ehle-Oslo
    • Sally Field-The Glass Menagerie
    • Laura Linney-Lillian Hellman’s The Little Foxes
    • Laurie Metcalf-A Doll’s House, Part 2
  • My Pick
    • Cate Blanchett-The Present
  • Reason
    • She has an Oscar, so why not a Tony right?

Featured Actor

  • Nominees
    • Michael Aranov-Oslo
    • Danny DeVito-Arthur Miller’s The Price
    • Nathan Lane-The Front Page
    • Richard Thomas-Lillian Hellman’s The Little Foxes
    • John Douglas Thompson-August Wilson’s Jitney
  • My Pick
    • Danny DeVito-Arthur Miller’s The Price
  • Reason
    • I know Danny DeVito as the Penguin and for his cameo on Friends. It would be very funny to me if the Penguin won a Tony.

Featured Actress

  • Nominees
    • Johanna Day-Sweat
    • Jayne Houdyshell-A Doll’s House Part 2
    • Cynthia Nixon-Lillian Hellman’s The Little Foxes
    • Condola Rashad-A Doll’s House Part 2
    • Michelle Wilson-Sweat
  • My Pick
    • Cynthia Nixon-Lillian Hellman’s The Little Foxes
  • Reason
    • Lillian Hellman’s The Little Foxes is the only play without multiple nominees in this category, so I figured I’d go for the underdog (unless it’s actually a favorite, then the joke’s on me.)

Scenic Design

  • Nominees
    • David Gallo-August Wilson’s Jitney
    • Nigel Hook-The Play that Goes Wrong
    • Douglas W. Schmidt-The Front Page
    • Michael Yeargan-Oslo
  • My Pick
    • Michael Yeargan-Oslo
  • Reason
    • Oslo is a city in Norway; therefore, it must have great scenery. Seems logical to me.

Costume Design

  • Nominees
    • Jane Greenwood-Lillian Hellman’s The Little Foxes
    • Susan Hilferty-Present Laughter
    • Tony-Leslie James-August Wilson’s Jitney
    • David Zinn-A Doll’s House, Part 2
  • My Pick
    • Jane Greenwood-Lillian Hellman’s The Little Foxes
  • Reason
    • My initial reaction, knowing nothing about this play, is that the foxes probably needed really nice costumes.

Lighting Design

  • Nominees
    • Christopher Akerlind-Indecent
    • Jane Cox-August Wilson’s Jitney
    • Donald Holder-Oslo
    • ­Jennifer Tipton-A Doll’s House, Part 2
  • My Pick
    • ­Jennifer Tipton-A Doll’s House, Part 2
  • Reason
    • When in doubt, choose the only play that I’ve heard of among the nominees.

Best Direction

  • Nominees
    • Sam Gold-A Doll’s House, Part 2
    • Ruben Santiago-August Wilson’s Jitney
    • Bartlett Sher-Oslo
    • Daniel Sullivan-Lillian Hellman’s The Little Foxes
    • Rebecca Taichman-Indecent
  • My Pick
    • Rebecca Taichman-Indecent
  • Reason
    • If there’s nothing else I’ve learned from the Wonder Woman movie, it’s to never underestimate a female director.

Well, that’s it! Thank you if you made it this far in my extremely incompetent picking process for the Tony’s.  Come back tomorrow to see how I did (let’s hope to get at least one correct).

Thanks for reading!

Announcement! 71st Annual Tony Awards Week Schedule

Announcement! 71st Annual Tony Awards Week Schedule

Last week, I took a trip to New York and had the privilege of watching 3 shows on Broadway: Miss Saigon, Waitress, and Anastasia.  Since the 71st Annual Tony Awards are taking place next Sunday on CBS (check your local listings), there will be a special Tony-themed week of posts here on Cultured Canvas.  Check out the schedule for the week here:

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